WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Palermo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Yastremska
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 60% vs 🎾 All-Court across 364 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jasmine Paolini here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.56 |
| ROI % | - | +3.4% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Paolini
1
Yastremska
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Yastremska has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Paolini's 40%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Belinda Bencic | W 57 75 63 | L 26 76 36 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | L 46 46 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 76 61 | W 26 64 75 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 62 16 | W 76 76 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 16 67 | L 57 64 57 |
| Cristina Bucsa | L 57 46 | W 64 46 76 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 64 67 16 | L 16 46 |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | W 75 75 | W 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | L 75 26 36 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 76 76 | W 61 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paolini | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65% | 57.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 61.6% | 64.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48% | 48.3% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 7.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.4% | 50.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37% | 37.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51% | 53.3% |
| BP Converted % | 41.3% | 47.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.5% | 50.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 40% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jasmine Paolini and Dayana Yastremska face off in the Round of 16 at Palermo on Clay.
Jasmine Paolini leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elise Mertens (May 5).
Dayana Yastremska is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anastasia Zakharova (May 5).
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