WTA 1000 · Quarterfinals · Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Gauff
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 864 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Coco Gauff here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -28.0% | -17.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.80u | -3.08u |
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
3
Paolini
4
Gauff
Nov 1, 2025
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 6, 2025
Wuhan
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 7, 2025
Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 6, 2025
Rome
C Clay · Final
Apr 14, 2025
Stuttgart
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Aug 14, 2023
Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 22, 2021
Adelaide
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gauff has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Paolini's 50%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Potapova | W 67 62 63 | L |
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | W 57 60 64 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 16 62 | W |
| Dayana Yastremska | W | L 67 16 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 67 62 64 | W 63 60 |
| Elise Mertens | L 64 67 36 | W 26 76 63 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | W 57 75 62 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 36 | W 36 60 63 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 36 62 64 | W 63 60 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 26 64 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paolini | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.4% | 69.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.9% | 64.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.7% | 44.6% |
| Aces / Match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 4.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 52.8% | 47.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.5% | 45% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.5% | 58% |
| BP Converted % | 28.8% | 48.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.3% | 54.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jasmine Paolini and Coco Gauff face off in the Quarterfinals at Cincinnati on Hard.
Jasmine Paolini leads 3-4 over 7 previous meetings.
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sandy Sierra (May 27).
Coco Gauff is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Paula Badosa (Jun 17).
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