WTA 500 · Quarterfinals · Bad Homburg
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Maia
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,425 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Jasmine Paolini plays Beatriz Haddad Maia.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Maia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 0–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.93 |
| ROI % | -28.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.80u | -7.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Paolini
0
Maia
Jun 22, 2025
Bad Homburg
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Feb 19, 2024
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 64
Oct 2, 2023
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Maia's 25%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Dayana Yastremska | W | L 26 57 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 67 62 64 | L 67 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 26 | L 36 26 |
| Katie Boulter | W 06 63 63 | L 46 46 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 46 26 | W 61 62 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 36 46 | L 06 36 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 62 75 | L 36 46 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 76 61 | W 61 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paolini | Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.4% | 68.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.9% | 58.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.7% | 37.1% |
| Aces / Match | 1.2 | 1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 5.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 52.8% | 50% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.5% | 24.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.5% | 44.9% |
| BP Converted % | 28.8% | 11.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.3% | 43% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jasmine Paolini and Beatriz Haddad Maia face off in the Quarterfinals at Bad Homburg on Grass.
Jasmine Paolini leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sandy Sierra (May 27).
Beatriz Haddad Maia is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sachia Vickery (Jun 15).
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