Grand Slam · Round of 32 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
💥 Big Hitter
Baez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jannik Sinner here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–1 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.10 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | +4.9% | -26.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.93u | -4.04u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Sinner
0
Baez
Jan 11, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 8, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Baez's 20%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | W 75 76 | L 57 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 62 57 64 | L 46 06 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 64 | L 16 26 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 62 75 | L 36 46 |
| Tomas Machac | W 61 67 63 | L 62 46 16 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 76 63 | L 16 36 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 64 | W 64 61 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 61 63 76 | L 46 36 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 67 62 36 | L 36 67 |
| Ben Shelton | W 63 64 64 | W 75 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sinner | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 68.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.1% | 64.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 58.1% | 52.2% |
| Aces / Match | 4.7 | 2.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 38.8% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.8% | 37% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.1% | 57.9% |
| BP Converted % | 40.2% | 54% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.2 | 13.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.2 | 21.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.8% | 55.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.3% | 52.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Clement Tabur
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Final
May 17
Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Matchup overview
Jannik Sinner and Sebastian Baez face off in the Round of 32 at Australian Open on Hard.
Jannik Sinner leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Jannik Sinner is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (May 27).
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
Share this match
