ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Marseille
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Gaston
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 899 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jannik Sinner here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 20–1 | 4–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.14 | 2.48 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | -58.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.95u | -8.25u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Sinner
0
Gaston
Jan 20, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Mar 22, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 8, 2021
Marseille
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Gaston's 20%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 75 61 | L 62 46 26 16 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 64 | L 26 36 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 62 63 | L 16 36 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 63 64 | L 46 26 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 62 75 | L 36 46 |
| Elmer Moller | W 62 63 | L 36 36 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 63 63 | L 64 26 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 67 62 36 | L 16 64 26 26 |
| Eliot Spizzirri | W 46 63 64 64 | W 26 62 61 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 61 61 62 | W 62 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sinner | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.9% | 56.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.2% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.6% | 46.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.7 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 42.6% | 46.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.2% | 46.5% |
| BP Converted % | 36.4% | 39.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20 | 19.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.2 | 31.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.9% | 64% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.7% | 47.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 100% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Clement Tabur
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Final
May 17
Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Felix Gill
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Francisco Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 28
Gael Monfils
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 17
Marko Topo
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Matchup overview
Jannik Sinner and Hugo Gaston face off in the Round of 16 at Marseille on Hard.
Jannik Sinner leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Jannik Sinner is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (May 27).
Hugo Gaston is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Felix Gill (Jun 8).
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