ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · BNP Paribas Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
💥 Big Hitter
Shapovalov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,491 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jannik Sinner here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 29–1 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.13 | 3.26 |
| ROI % | +9.8% | -51.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.95u | -4.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Sinner
1
Shapovalov
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Shapovalov's 30%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | W 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 62 76 | W 61 62 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 61 75 | W 76 62 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 63 60 | W 64 46 76 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 64 | L 46 46 |
| Learner Tien | W 61 62 | L 67 57 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 76 76 | L 75 46 36 |
| Ben Shelton | W 63 64 64 | L 64 46 67 |
| Marin Cilic | W 62 62 | L 46 36 26 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 62 76 | L 67 64 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sinner | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.2% | 62.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 70.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.9% | 51.2% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 2.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2 | 3.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 49.2% | 45.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 25.7% | 31.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48% | 49.3% |
| BP Converted % | 32% | 41.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17.6 | 13.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 20.8 | 19.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 61.2% | 45.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.2% | 51.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 100% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Clement Tabur
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Final
May 17
Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Jaime Faria
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Mariano Navone
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Alex Molcan
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Tallon Griekspoor
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Matchup overview
Jannik Sinner and Denis Shapovalov face off in the Round of 32 at BNP Paribas Open on Hard.
Jannik Sinner leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Jannik Sinner is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (May 27).
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jaime Faria (May 26).
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