Grand Slam · Finals · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
💥 Big Hitter
Medvedev
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 5,478 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 27–1 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.14 | 2.54 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | +27.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.90u | +4.18u |
Prior meetings and scores · 17 career meetings
10
Sinner
7
Medvedev
May 16, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 15, 2026
BNP Paribas Open
H Hard · Final
Nov 14, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 10, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 4, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 10, 2024
Wimbledon
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 29, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 28, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Finals
Nov 18, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 29, 2023
Vienna
H Hard · Finals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Medvedev's 50%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Alexei Popyrin | W 62 60 | L 75 46 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 61 62 | L 62 36 67 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 62 75 | W 63 64 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 62 76 | L 36 75 46 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 67 61 64 | L 36 57 76 60 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 61 75 | W 62 67 64 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 76 63 | W 63 76 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 64 | W 64 62 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 63 60 | L 67 63 36 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 62 62 | W 63 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sinner | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.2% | 65.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 69.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.6% | 51.9% |
| Aces / Match | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.5% | 55.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26.7% | 35% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.2% | 52.8% |
| BP Converted % | 30.6% | 40.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.3 | 22 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 20.7 | 26.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 64.4% | 69.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50% | 52.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 100% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Clement Tabur
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Final
May 17
Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Adam Walton
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Martin Landaluce
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 11
Matchup overview
Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev face off in the Finals at Australian Open on Hard.
Jannik Sinner leads 10-7 over 17 previous meetings.
Jannik Sinner is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (May 27).
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Adam Walton (May 26).
Share this match
