ATP 250 · Finals · Umag
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 266 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 20–1 | 5–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.14 | 1.20 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | -13.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.95u | -0.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 17 career meetings
7
Sinner
10
Alcaraz
Apr 11, 2026
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters
C Clay · Final
Nov 16, 2025
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Finals
Sep 7, 2025
US Open
H Hard · Finals
Jul 13, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Finals
Jun 8, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Finals
May 18, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Finals
Oct 2, 2024
Beijing
H Hard · Finals
Jun 6, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 16, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 3, 2023
Beijing
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Alcaraz's 90%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | W 64 64 | W 61 76 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 62 57 64 | L 36 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 64 | W 76 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 61 62 | W 64 76 67 67 75 |
| Arthur Fils | W 62 64 | W 62 61 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 62 75 | W 63 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 64 | W 62 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 64 | W 63 60 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 64 | W 64 62 64 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 61 64 | W 62 64 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sinner | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.9% | 61.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.2% | 71.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.6% | 55.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 42.6% | 43.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32% | 42.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.2% | 57.7% |
| BP Converted % | 36.4% | 51.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20 | 21.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.2 | 29.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.9% | 62.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.7% | 56.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 95% | 83% |
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Clement Tabur
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Final
May 17
Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Matchup overview
Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz face off in the Finals at Umag on Clay.
Jannik Sinner leads 7-10 over 17 previous meetings.
Jannik Sinner is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (May 27).
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
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