ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Bergamo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Jan-Lennard Struff plays Matteo Arnaldi.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Struff | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -4.8% | +47.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.53u | +8.47u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Struff
1
Arnaldi
Jun 9, 2025
Stuttgart
G Grass · Round of 32
Oct 7, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 64
Nov 4, 2022
Bergamo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Struff has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Arnaldi's 38%).
| Opponent | Struff | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 64 63 76 | W 76 67 36 76 64 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 36 63 36 | W 62 63 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 76 60 | L 16 76 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 64 26 62 36 16 | W 26 63 62 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 26 63 64 | L 06 16 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 61 16 | L 36 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 63 57 16 | L 76 46 46 |
| Arthur Cazaux | W 76 63 | L 46 63 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Struff | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 56.6% | 61.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.2% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53% | 49% |
| Aces / Match | 8.5 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 65.5% | 51.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.4% | 33.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 43.1% | 45.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.8 | 24.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.7 | 36.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75.7% | 63.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Jan-Lennard Struff and Matteo Arnaldi face off in the Quarterfinals at Bergamo on Hard.
Jan-Lennard Struff leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Jan-Lennard Struff is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexander Bublik (Jun 11).
Matteo Arnaldi is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Matteo Berrettini (Jun 3).
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