ATP Challenger Tour · 2nd Round Qualifying · Lincoln
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jones
⚙️ Grinder
Nakagawa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Naoki Nakagawa here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jones | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -31.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.10u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Jones
1
Nakagawa
Sep 17, 2024
Columbus
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 5, 2024
Lincoln
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Jones and Nakagawa posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Jones | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kypson | L 76 67 36 | L 36 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Jones | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.3% | 64.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.6% | 67.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48% | 62.5% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 0 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.2% | 80% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.4% | 25% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.6% | 52.9% |
| BP Converted % | 40% | 75% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24 | 8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 34.4 | 24 |
| Net Pts Won % | 61.8% | 57.1% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.5% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Round of 16
Jun 24
Marco Trungelliti
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Round of 32
Jun 22
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Harry Wendelken
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Aleksandar Vukic
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Matchup overview
Jack Pinnington Jones and Naoki Nakagawa face off in the 2nd Round Qualifying at Lincoln on Hard.
Jack Pinnington Jones leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Jack Pinnington Jones is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jack Draper (Jun 24).
Naoki Nakagawa is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Colin Sinclair (Jun 18).
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