WTA 1000 · Final · Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 864 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Iga Swiatek here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–3 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 4.02 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +278.1% | -28.0% |
| Units P/L | +47.27u | -2.80u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
5
Swiatek
1
Paolini
Oct 6, 2025
Wuhan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 7, 2025
Cincinnati
H Hard · Final
Jun 22, 2025
Bad Homburg
G Grass · Semifinals
Nov 13, 2024
BJK Cup Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
May 27, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Final
Aug 29, 2022
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Paolini's 60%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | W | L 26 36 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 36 62 64 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 63 62 | L 46 26 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 64 | W 67 62 63 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 62 63 | W 62 75 |
| Yue Yuan | W 76 63 | W 36 64 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 36 26 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 46 26 | L 76 36 46 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 76 64 | W 57 75 63 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 60 63 | W 61 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Swiatek | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65% | 63.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 62.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.8% | 42.7% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.4% | 52.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.7% | 37.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 69.3% | 48.5% |
| BP Converted % | 52.1% | 28.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 59.2% | 48.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini face off in the Final at Cincinnati on Hard.
Iga Swiatek leads 5-1 over 6 previous meetings.
Iga Swiatek is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mariya Kostyuk (May 31).
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sandy Sierra (May 27).
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