ATP Challenger Tour · Semifinals · Rome 1
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
⚙️ Grinder
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,082 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Hugo Gaston plays Juan Pablo Varillas.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–10 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.48 | 1.19 |
| ROI % | -58.9% | -17.3% |
| Units P/L | -8.25u | -0.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Gaston
2
Varillas
Apr 18, 2023
Banja Luka
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 21, 2023
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 21, 2021
Rome 1
C Clay · Semifinals
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Gaston | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 56.9% | 53.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.1% | 67.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.8% | 43.2% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.2% | 54.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 26% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.5% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 39.2% | 34.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.8 | 4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36.3 | 30 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68% | 50% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.6% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 36% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Felix Gill
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Francisco Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 28
Gael Monfils
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 17
Marko Topo
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Ryan Dickerson
Santos Brasil Tennis Cup · Round of 32
May 6
Lautaro Midon
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 16
Apr 9
Victor Braga
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Apr 8
Facundo Diaz Acosta
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 16
Apr 2
Matchup overview
Hugo Gaston and Juan Pablo Varillas face off in the Semifinals at Rome 1 on Clay.
Hugo Gaston leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Hugo Gaston is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Felix Gill (Jun 8).
Juan Pablo Varillas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ryan Dickerson (May 6).
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