ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · Antwerp
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
⚙️ Grinder
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,419 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex de Minaur here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–10 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.48 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | -58.9% | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | -8.25u | -2.48u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Gaston
0
Minaur
Oct 18, 2024
Antwerp
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 24, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Gaston's 10%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | L 16 64 26 26 | L 60 26 26 36 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 62 46 26 16 | W 36 64 63 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 63 36 67 | W 62 62 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 16 75 67 | L 64 67 46 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 46 26 | W 76 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 36 46 | W 76 26 62 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 64 | W 64 62 |
| Christopher O'Connell | L 26 36 | W 63 64 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 16 | L 57 26 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | L 46 36 46 | W 62 64 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Gaston | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 56.9% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.1% | 64.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.8% | 51.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.2% | 57.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 30% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.5% | 50% |
| BP Converted % | 39.2% | 44.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.8 | 19.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36.3 | 32.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68% | 76.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.6% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Felix Gill
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Francisco Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 28
Gael Monfils
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 17
Marko Topo
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Matchup overview
Hugo Gaston and Alex de Minaur face off in the Quarterfinals at Antwerp on Hard.
Hugo Gaston leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Hugo Gaston is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Felix Gill (Jun 8).
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
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