ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Astana
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Hubert Hurkacz and Alexander Bublik are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 12,482 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +5.7% | -22.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | -3.09u |
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
6
Hurkacz
2
Bublik
Feb 11, 2026
ABN AMRO Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 7, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 25, 2023
Marseille
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 1, 2023
United Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 6, 2022
Astana
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 22, 2022
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 11, 2021
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Feb 12, 2020
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Hurkacz's 33%).
| Opponent | Hurkacz | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Marton Fucsovics | L 63 67 67 | W 75 64 75 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 26 46 | L 67 16 |
| Jaume Munar | W 63 63 26 63 | W 64 67 76 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 46 63 64 | L 46 46 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 46 67 | W 76 63 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 76 36 46 | L 63 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Hurkacz | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.3% | 65.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.5% | 69.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53% | 45.3% |
| Aces / Match | 8.3 | 9.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.4% | 46.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26.1% | 23.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 40.3% | 45.9% |
| BP Converted % | 32.5% | 38.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.8 | 24.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.3 | 24.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 67.7% | 61.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.6% | 46.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Hubert Hurkacz and Alexander Bublik face off in the Round of 16 at Astana on Hard.
Hubert Hurkacz leads 6-2 over 8 previous meetings.
Hubert Hurkacz is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Daniel Altmaier (Jun 17).
Alexander Bublik is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Taylor Fritz (Jun 13).
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