ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Sydney
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Nakagawa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Naoki Nakagawa here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.09 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -5.2% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Moriya
1
Nakagawa
Oct 31, 2023
Sydney
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 1, 2018
Kyoto
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Moriya and Nakagawa posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Moriya | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Colin Sinclair | W 36 75 64 | W |
| Yusuke Takahashi | W 64 26 62 | L 46 46 |
| Masamichi Imamura | L 46 26 | W 64 64 |
| Li Tu | W 16 64 76 | L 76 46 67 |
| Alfredo Perez | L 76 36 16 | W 64 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Moriya | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.2% | 64.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.9% | 67.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.8% | 62.5% |
| Aces / Match | 1.9 | 0 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.5% | 80% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.7% | 25% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56% | 52.9% |
| BP Converted % | 42% | 75% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 9.5 | 8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 38 | 24 |
| Net Pts Won % | 35.7% | 57.1% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.6% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 45% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Hiroki Moriya and Naoki Nakagawa face off in the Round of 32 at Sydney on Hard.
Hiroki Moriya leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Hiroki Moriya is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hoyoung Roh (Jun 20).
Naoki Nakagawa is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Colin Sinclair (Jun 18).
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