ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Shymkent Challenger 1
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bailly
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kirkin
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,800 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Gilles Arnaud Bailly here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bailly | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -25.7% | -49.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.83u | -3.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Bailly
0
Kirkin
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bailly | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.7% | 55.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 59.4% | 76.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.4% | 50.6% |
| Aces / Match | 1.5 | 6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50.9% | 45.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.2% | 37.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.5% | 56.1% |
| BP Converted % | 52.9% | 54.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.9 | 23.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 30.1 | 23.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 65.7% | 69.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49% | 55.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 45% | 43% |
Last five matches per player
Anton Matusevich
Bosphorus Challenger Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
May 1
Tomohiro Masabayashi
Shymkent Challenger 2 · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 27
Sora Fukuda
Shymkent Challenger 2 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 27
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Shymkent Challenger 1 · Round of 32
Apr 11
Kai Wehnelt
Shymkent Challenger 1 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 3
Matchup overview
Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Ergi Kirkin face off in the Round of 32 at Shymkent Challenger 1 on Clay.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (May 24).
Ergi Kirkin is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anton Matusevich (May 1).
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