ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Milan
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Elias
⚔️ The Gladiator
Karatsev
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 61% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 995 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aslan Karatsev here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Elias | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.06 | - |
| ROI % | -66.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.99u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Elias
0
Karatsev
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Elias and Karatsev posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Elias | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Kukushkin | L 26 36 | L 67 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Elias | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 55.4% | 67.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.6% | 82.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 58.3% | 31.6% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 11 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48% | 75% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.7% | 50% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 61.5% |
| BP Converted % | 38% | 62.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 61.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Gastao Elias and Aslan Karatsev face off in the Round of 16 at Milan on Clay.
Gastao Elias leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Gastao Elias is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Domingues (May 4).
Aslan Karatsev is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Christian Djonov (Apr 13).
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