ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Villa Maria
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maestrelli
🏹 Frontrunner
Soto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 464 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Francesco Maestrelli here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–8 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.49 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -28.1% |
| Units P/L | -8.00u | -3.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Maestrelli
0
Soto
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maestrelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Soto's 0%).
| Opponent | Maestrelli | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Stefano Napolitano | W 63 76 | L 16 67 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 67 46 | L 64 57 36 |
| Murphy Cassone | L 67 46 | L 36 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Maestrelli | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.1% | 57.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.2% | 64% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.6% | 47.5% |
| Aces / Match | 2.9 | 4.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.6% | 49.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 29.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.1% | 56.4% |
| BP Converted % | 50.5% | 51.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.6 | 13 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28 | 46 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63.2% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 49.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 13% | 58% |
Last five matches per player
Arthur Gea
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Alexis Galarneau
Dublin Challenger · Round of 32
Jun 8
Rio Noguchi
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Roberto Carballes Baena
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Kimmer Coppejans
Moldova Open · Round of 32
May 13
Ignacio Monzon
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Jun 22
Nick Hardt
CIT Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Santiago De La Fuente
CIT Open · Round of 16
Jun 17
Juan Estevez
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion San Miguel de Tucuman · Round of 32
Jun 9
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
CIT Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Matchup overview
Francesco Maestrelli and Matias Soto face off in the Round of 16 at Villa Maria on Clay.
Francesco Maestrelli leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Francesco Maestrelli is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Arthur Gea (Jun 10).
Matias Soto is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Ignacio Monzon (Jun 22).
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