ATP Challenger Tour · Finals · Bergamo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maestrelli
🏹 Frontrunner
Topo
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 60% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 169 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Marko Topo here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Topo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–8 | 3–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.49 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -59.6% |
| Units P/L | -8.00u | -7.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Maestrelli
0
Topo
Nov 23, 2025
Bergamo
H Hard · Finals
Jul 4, 2025
Brasov
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Maestrelli and Topo posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Maestrelli | Topo |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Giustino | W 76 61 | W 26 62 64 |
| Hugo Gaston | L 67 16 | L 16 26 |
| George Loffhagen | W 64 64 | L 76 57 16 |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | W 62 16 61 | W 62 75 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 46 36 | W 64 36 76 |
| Andrew Paulson | L 26 36 | L 57 63 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Maestrelli | Topo |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.1% | 61.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.2% | 68.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.6% | 50.3% |
| Aces / Match | 2.9 | 4.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.6% | 66.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 34.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.1% | 46.9% |
| BP Converted % | 50.5% | 38.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.6 | 18.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28 | 25.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63.2% | 59.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 50.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Arthur Gea
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Alexis Galarneau
Dublin Challenger · Round of 32
Jun 8
Rio Noguchi
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Roberto Carballes Baena
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Kimmer Coppejans
Moldova Open · Round of 32
May 13
Matchup overview
Francesco Maestrelli and Marko Topo face off in the Finals at Bergamo on Hard.
Francesco Maestrelli leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Francesco Maestrelli is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Arthur Gea (Jun 10).
Marko Topo is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Martin Krumich (Jun 24).
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