ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Szczecin
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maestrelli
🏹 Frontrunner
Bailly
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 464 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Francesco Maestrelli here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–8 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.49 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -32.6% |
| Units P/L | -8.00u | -2.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Maestrelli
0
Bailly
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Maestrelli and Bailly posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Maestrelli | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 46 46 | L 62 46 26 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | L 62 36 36 | W 76 67 62 |
| Kimmer Coppejans | L 76 26 46 | L 46 36 |
| Alejandro Moro Canas | W 64 64 | W 75 67 62 |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | W 62 16 61 | L 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Maestrelli | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.1% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.2% | 59.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.6% | 51.5% |
| Aces / Match | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.6% | 48.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 36.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.1% | 54.9% |
| BP Converted % | 50.5% | 58% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.6 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63.2% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 49.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 13% | 40% |
Last five matches per player
Arthur Gea
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Alexis Galarneau
Dublin Challenger · Round of 32
Jun 8
Rio Noguchi
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Roberto Carballes Baena
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Kimmer Coppejans
Moldova Open · Round of 32
May 13
Matchup overview
Francesco Maestrelli and Gilles Arnaud Bailly face off in the Round of 16 at Szczecin on Clay.
Francesco Maestrelli leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Francesco Maestrelli is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Arthur Gea (Jun 10).
Gilles Arnaud Bailly is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aristotelis Thanos (Jun 12).
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