ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Francavilla al Mare
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maestrelli
🏹 Frontrunner
Denolly
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 62% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 398 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Francesco Maestrelli here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maestrelli | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–8 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.49 | 2.45 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +42.8% |
| Units P/L | -8.00u | +3.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Maestrelli
0
Denolly
May 6, 2025
Francavilla al Mare
C Clay · Round of 32
Jan 13, 2025
Nonthaburi 3
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maestrelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Denolly's 0%).
| Opponent | Maestrelli | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| Stefano Napolitano | W 63 76 | L 36 46 |
| Mathys Erhard | W 63 76 | L 06 36 |
| Yi Zhou | L 06 36 | L 16 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Maestrelli | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.1% | 64.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.2% | 70.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.6% | 58.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.6% | 71.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 37.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.1% | 54.8% |
| BP Converted % | 50.5% | 55.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.6 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63.2% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 55.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 13% | 79% |
Last five matches per player
Arthur Gea
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Alexis Galarneau
Dublin Challenger · Round of 32
Jun 8
Rio Noguchi
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Roberto Carballes Baena
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Kimmer Coppejans
Moldova Open · Round of 32
May 13
Matchup overview
Francesco Maestrelli and Corentin Denolly face off in the Round of 32 at Francavilla al Mare on Clay.
Francesco Maestrelli leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Francesco Maestrelli is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Arthur Gea (Jun 10).
Corentin Denolly is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jan Kumstat (Jun 17).
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