ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · Mutua Madrid Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cobolli
🎯 Baseliner
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Flavio Cobolli plays Daniil Medvedev.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–7 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +13.4% | -10.5% |
| Units P/L | +2.81u | -1.36u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Cobolli
2
Medvedev
Apr 28, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open
C Clay · Round of 16
Sep 30, 2024
Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 31, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Cobolli and Medvedev posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Cobolli | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Terence Atmane | W 76 63 | W 64 64 |
| Marin Cilic | W 64 64 67 76 | W 62 36 61 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 26 67 | W 63 62 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 64 46 76 16 | L 62 36 67 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 46 64 64 64 | W 64 62 |
| Learner Tien | W 62 62 63 | L 46 06 36 |
| Yibing Wu | W 64 64 64 | L 75 67 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 67 | L 26 75 46 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 46 | W 63 62 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 46 63 | W 62 67 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Cobolli | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61% | 64.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.7% | 69.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.4% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.3% | 62.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.9% | 54.5% |
| BP Converted % | 42.1% | 37.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.1 | 24.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.6 | 27.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.8% | 69% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53% | 51.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 70% | 56% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Flavio Cobolli and Daniil Medvedev face off in the Round of 16 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Flavio Cobolli leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Flavio Cobolli is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Frances Tiafoe (Jun 9).
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Terence Atmane (Jun 17).
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