ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 682 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Felix Auger-Aliassime here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 1.59 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -7.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.46u | -1.42u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
3
Auger-Aliassime
3
Minaur
Feb 15, 2026
ABN AMRO Open
H Hard · Final
Sep 2, 2025
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 13, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 17, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
May 11, 2018
Braga
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 13, 2017
Drummondville
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Auger-Aliassime | Minaur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 14/20 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 10 or more | 40% | 8/20 | 11% | 2/18 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 3/20 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/18 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Minaur's 50%).
| Opponent | Auger-Aliassime | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 36 46 | L 57 26 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 62 62 | L 46 63 36 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 67 | W 76 62 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 67 63 63 | W 76 46 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 | L 46 46 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 76 | W 76 67 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 61 62 | W 64 61 61 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 76 | W 64 62 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 46 | L 57 26 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Auger-Aliassime | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.3% | 61.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 75.6% | 73.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 56.9% | 54.9% |
| Aces / Match | 8.3 | 4.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.1% | 51.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 25.9% | 29.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.4% | 48.5% |
| BP Converted % | 31.6% | 47.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.2 | 18.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.2 | 30.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.8% | 70% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.7% | 51.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 78% | 69% |
Last five matches per player
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Marin Cilic
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 8
Terence Atmane
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 23
Marton Fucsovics
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 21
Arthur Fils
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 16
Mar 10
Hamad Medjedovic
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 15
Sebastian Ofner
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Alexander Blockx
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 9
Cameron Norrie
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 7
Matchup overview
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Alex de Minaur face off in the Round of 32 at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati on Hard.
Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 3-3 over 6 previous meetings.
Felix Auger-Aliassime is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jannik Sinner (Apr 10).
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hamad Medjedovic (Apr 15).
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