ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Lyon
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Coria
⚔️ The Gladiator
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,418 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pablo Carreno Busta here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Coria | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -9.3% | +21.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.56u | +1.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Coria
0
Busta
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Coria | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.5% | 71.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 57.6% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.3% | 51.9% |
| Aces / Match | 1.2 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3 | 0.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.5% | 30.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39.7% | 36.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 44.9% | 52.7% |
| BP Converted % | 99.4% | 42.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 35.5 | 20.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 58 | 17 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70% | 86.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.5% | 52.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 70% |
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Kicker
CIT Open · Round of 32
Jun 16
Nicolas Kicker
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion San Miguel de Tucuman · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Andrea Collarini
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion San Miguel de Tucuman · Round of 16
Jun 11
Segundo Goity Zapico
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion San Miguel de Tucuman · Round of 32
Jun 10
Vilius Gaubas
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Matchup overview
Federico Coria and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Round of 16 at Lyon on Clay.
Federico Coria leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Federico Coria is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nicolas Kicker (Jun 16).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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