WTA 500 · Round of 32 · Guadalajara
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
🏹 Frontrunner
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,273 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Emma Navarro plays Madison Keys.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–3 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +50.7% | +68.4% |
| Units P/L | +6.08u | +10.94u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Navarro
1
Keys
May 27, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 18, 2023
Guadalajara
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 3, 2023
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Navarro and Keys posted a 56% win rate.
| Opponent | Navarro | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 76 26 16 | L |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W | W |
| Anna Bondar | W | W 62 75 |
| Caty Mcnally | L | W 26 63 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L |
| Victoria Mboko | W 60 57 62 | W |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 64 75 | W 60 63 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 16 63 67 | L 62 26 36 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 64 46 60 | L 16 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Navarro | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 54.8% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.9% | 71.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.1% | 43.7% |
| Aces / Match | 1.5 | 5.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.6% | 43.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 46.6% | 39% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.6% | 54.7% |
| BP Converted % | 41.8% | 56.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.7% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Emma Navarro and Madison Keys face off in the Round of 32 at Guadalajara on Hard.
Emma Navarro leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Emma Navarro is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Yuliia Starodubtseva (Jun 17).
Madison Keys is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 19).
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