Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
🏹 Frontrunner
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 60% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 848 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Emma Navarro here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | +30.0% | -30.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.80u | -3.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Navarro
0
Kasatkina
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Navarro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Kasatkina's 33%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Caty Mcnally | L | L 26 36 |
| Ann Li | W 61 63 | L 76 26 46 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 16 63 67 | L 36 06 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 64 75 | W 75 61 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 26 | W 64 60 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 64 46 60 | L 75 16 16 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 57 67 | W 76 64 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 64 64 | L 06 64 36 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 62 75 | L 63 36 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Navarro | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 54.8% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.9% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.1% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 1.5 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.6% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 46.6% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.6% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 41.8% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.7% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Emma Navarro and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Round of 16 at Australian Open on Hard.
Emma Navarro leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Emma Navarro is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Caty Mcnally (Jun 10).
Daria Kasatkina is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Robin Montgomery (Jun 8).
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