WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Stephens
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 64% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,716 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Elise Mertens here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 3.74 |
| ROI % | +55.6% | -68.2% |
| Units P/L | +8.34u | -3.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
2
Mertens
3
Stephens
Apr 22, 2024
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Jan 1, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 11, 2023
San Diego
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 27, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 13, 2018
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Mertens and Stephens posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 60 | W 16 76 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 46 26 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 57 62 67 | L 67 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62% | 65.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.6% | 48.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.9% | 46.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.1 | 0.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.7 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.5% | 56.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39.8% | 25.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.6% | 39.4% |
| BP Converted % | 45.5% | 49.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 40.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Elise Mertens and Sloane Stephens face off in the Round of 16 at Cincinnati on Hard.
Elise Mertens leads 2-3 over 5 previous meetings.
Elise Mertens is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nikola Bartunkova (Jun 17).
Sloane Stephens is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sara Bejlek (May 25).
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