Grand Slam · Round of 32 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 800 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Elina Svitolina here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19–3 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +32.0% | -28.0% |
| Units P/L | +7.05u | -2.80u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Svitolina
0
Paolini
May 26, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Paolini's 50%).
| Opponent | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | L | L 16 67 |
| Belinda Bencic | W | W 57 75 63 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 61 64 | W 75 63 |
| Coco Gauff | W | L 36 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | W | W 61 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | W | L 36 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 61 62 | L 57 36 |
| Elise Mertens | L 16 67 | L 64 67 36 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 76 46 63 | W 36 62 64 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 64 62 | W 76 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Svitolina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64% | 63.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.5% | 62.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47% | 42.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 1.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 71.2% | 52.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39.1% | 37.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 59.3% | 48.5% |
| BP Converted % | 42.3% | 28.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 48.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Elina Svitolina and Jasmine Paolini face off in the Round of 32 at Australian Open on Hard.
Elina Svitolina leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Elina Svitolina is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexandra Eala (Jun 19).
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sandy Sierra (May 27).
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