WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
💥 Big Hitter
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,211 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Marta Kostyuk here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 15–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 1.42 |
| ROI % | +71.2% | +30.6% |
| Units P/L | +13.52u | +4.89u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Rybakina
1
Kostyuk
Mar 17, 2026
Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 4, 2026
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 15, 2024
Stuttgart
C Clay · Final
Aug 28, 2023
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Jan 2, 2023
Adelaide 1
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Rybakina's 70%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Tatjana Maria | W | W 63 60 |
| Katie Boulter | L | W 64 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 75 61 | L |
| Elina Svitolina | L | W |
| Veronika Erjavec | W 62 62 | L 63 36 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 61 | W 75 61 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 67 46 | W 62 16 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 26 63 64 | W 61 64 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 63 63 | W 61 63 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | W 76 60 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rybakina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.1% | 58.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.7% | 69.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.4% | 48.5% |
| Aces / Match | 5.5 | 2.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 39.2% | 59.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 38.7% | 47.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.2% | 67.9% |
| BP Converted % | 48.5% | 60.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 55.2% | 58.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Elena Rybakina and Marta Kostyuk face off in the Round of 32 at Indian Wells on Hard.
Elena Rybakina leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Elena Rybakina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexandra Eala (Jun 18).
Marta Kostyuk is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mirra Andreeva (Jun 4).
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