WTA 1000 · Semifinals · Rome
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,211 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jelena Ostapenko here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | +71.2% | -2.3% |
| Units P/L | +13.52u | -0.34u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
4
Rybakina
2
Ostapenko
May 26, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 14, 2023
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
May 8, 2023
Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 16, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 21, 2021
Eastbourne
G Grass · Semifinals
Oct 7, 2019
Linz
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Ostapenko's 50%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | L | W 64 75 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 63 | W 46 64 64 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | W 26 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 67 46 | L 64 46 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 75 61 | L 75 26 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 26 63 64 | L 64 36 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 76 26 62 | L 36 46 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 64 67 63 | W 64 64 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 62 | W 57 62 75 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 57 64 46 | L 36 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rybakina | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.1% | 58.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.7% | 66.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.4% | 43.9% |
| Aces / Match | 5.5 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 7.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 39.2% | 58.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 38.7% | 41.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.2% | 61.1% |
| BP Converted % | 48.5% | 56.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 55.2% | 53% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 68% | 56% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Elena Rybakina and Jelena Ostapenko face off in the Semifinals at Rome on Clay.
Elena Rybakina leads 4-2 over 6 previous meetings.
Elena Rybakina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexandra Eala (Jun 18).
Jelena Ostapenko is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Magda Linette (May 27).
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