WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Adelaide
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
💥 Big Hitter
Bucsa
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,273 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Elena Rybakina plays Cristina Bucsa.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 0–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | +71.2% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +13.52u | -6.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Rybakina
0
Bucsa
Feb 5, 2024
Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 8, 2024
Adelaide
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Bucsa's 30%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | L | W 64 63 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 75 | L 62 67 57 |
| Elina Svitolina | L | L 46 16 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 63 | L 67 26 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L 06 16 |
| Elise Mertens | W 61 63 | L 26 16 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 62 | W 75 64 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 63 63 | W 61 46 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 57 64 46 | L 57 76 26 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 64 67 63 | L 46 64 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rybakina | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.1% | 64.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.7% | 59.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.4% | 42.3% |
| Aces / Match | 5.5 | 1.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 39.2% | 37.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 38.7% | 33.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.2% | 54.1% |
| BP Converted % | 48.5% | 30.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 55.2% | 46.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Elena Rybakina and Cristina Bucsa face off in the Round of 16 at Adelaide on Hard.
Elena Rybakina leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Elena Rybakina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexandra Eala (Jun 18).
Cristina Bucsa is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Susan Bandecchi (May 25).
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