WTA 1000 · Round of 128 · Miami
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,273 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Ekaterina Alexandrova plays Jasmine Paolini.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.75 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -35.0% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.80u | -3.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Alexandrova
0
Paolini
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Paolini's 40%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L | L 36 16 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 63 60 | W 75 63 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 46 76 16 | W 36 62 64 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 36 76 63 | L 57 36 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 57 64 46 | L 26 26 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 46 26 | L 75 26 57 |
| Talia Gibson | L 36 57 | L 57 62 16 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | W 64 63 | W 75 57 61 |
| Priscilla Hon | W 62 75 | W 60 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 16 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Alexandrova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 52.5% | 63.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.1% | 62.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.4% | 42.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5.6 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50.4% | 52.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.6% | 37.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.2% | 48.5% |
| BP Converted % | 31.1% | 28.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.3% | 48.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Jasmine Paolini face off in the Round of 128 at Miami on Hard.
Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Ekaterina Alexandrova is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Naomi Osaka (Jun 25).
Jasmine Paolini is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Tatjana Maria (Jun 23).
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