Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Roland Garros
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🎯 Baseliner
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 977 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Diana Shnaider plays Madison Keys.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–7 | 12–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | +19.5% | +79.6% |
| Units P/L | +4.29u | +11.94u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
2
Shnaider
3
Keys
Jun 1, 2026
French Open
C Clay ·
May 25, 2026
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
Jan 4, 2026
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 9, 2025
Queen's Club
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 18, 2024
Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Shnaider and Keys posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Shnaider | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | W 26 61 62 | W |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L | L 36 61 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W | L 36 36 |
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | W | W 76 61 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W | W 64 63 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 64 61 | L 76 67 57 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 67 | W 46 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 46 | L 76 46 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 63 36 26 | L 36 46 |
| Donna Vekic | L 36 36 | W 62 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shnaider | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.8% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 60.4% | 71.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.1% | 43.7% |
| Aces / Match | 0.9 | 5.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.9 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 53.9% | 43.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 38.6% | 39% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52% | 54.7% |
| BP Converted % | 51.5% | 56.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 73% | 78% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Diana Shnaider and Madison Keys face off in the Round of 16 at Roland Garros on Clay.
Diana Shnaider leads 2-3 over 5 previous meetings.
Diana Shnaider is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nikola Bartunkova (Jun 15).
Madison Keys is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Karolina Muchova (Jun 18).
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