WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Adelaide
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🎯 Baseliner
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 261 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Katerina Siniakova here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–7 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | +19.5% | -3.9% |
| Units P/L | +4.29u | -0.55u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Shnaider
1
Siniakova
Jan 12, 2026
Adelaide
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 6, 2025
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 6, 2025
Adelaide
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Siniakova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Shnaider's 40%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 63 36 26 | L |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 26 67 | L 67 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | L 36 26 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 67 62 67 | L 64 67 57 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 26 62 64 | L 36 62 67 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 63 60 | W 57 64 76 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 26 | W 46 76 63 |
| Iva Jovic | L 46 61 06 | W 75 63 |
| Maya Joint | W 64 61 | W 63 61 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 63 61 | W 60 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.8% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 60.4% | 64.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.1% | 51.5% |
| Aces / Match | 0.9 | 1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 53.9% | 71.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 38.6% | 43.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52% | 55.3% |
| BP Converted % | 51.5% | 49.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 53.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Diana Shnaider and Katerina Siniakova face off in the Round of 16 at Adelaide on Hard.
Diana Shnaider leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Diana Shnaider is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nikola Bartunkova (Jun 15).
Katerina Siniakova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 17).
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