ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Noguchi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Denis Shapovalov here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | +20.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | +3.11u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Shapovalov
0
Noguchi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Shapovalov and Noguchi posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | L 46 57 46 | L 63 46 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shapovalov | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60% | 66.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.2% | 69.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 50.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5.5 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.8% | 67.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.7% | 34.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 44.7% | 57.5% |
| BP Converted % | 40.5% | 50.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.2 | 27.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.7 | 27.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 54.5% | 60% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.2% | 53.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 57% |
Last five matches per player
Clement Tabur
Dublin Challenger · Round of 32
Jun 16
Hamish Stewart
Dublin Challenger · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Paul Jubb
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Patrick Brady
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Keegan Smith
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Matchup overview
Denis Shapovalov and Rio Noguchi face off in the Round of 16 at Tokyo on Hard.
Denis Shapovalov leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
Rio Noguchi is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Clement Tabur (Jun 16).
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