ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Granby
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 8,831 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Denis Shapovalov plays Mackenzie McDonald.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.49 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | -32.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | -3.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Shapovalov
0
McDonald
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs McDonald's 25%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L 26 26 36 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 26 16 | W 36 63 62 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 26 76 | L 76 67 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | W 64 36 63 |
| Elias Ymer | W 64 67 61 | L 67 64 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 64 46 67 | L 36 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | L 62 16 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 46 | L 67 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shapovalov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60% | 65.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.2% | 62.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5.5 | 1.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.8% | 59.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.7% | 29.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 44.7% | 46.8% |
| BP Converted % | 40.5% | 37.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.2 | 26.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.7 | 30.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 54.5% | 63% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.2% | 47.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Niels Visker
Libema Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Matchup overview
Denis Shapovalov and Mackenzie McDonald face off in the Quarterfinals at Granby on Hard.
Denis Shapovalov leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
Mackenzie McDonald is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Jun 14).
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