ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
👑 The Complete Package
Nishikori
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 542 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Denis Shapovalov here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -44.0% | -30.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.08u | -1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Shapovalov
2
Nishikori
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Shapovalov and Nishikori posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 26 16 | L 63 46 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shapovalov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58.9% | 60.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.6% | 67.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.5% | 52% |
| Aces / Match | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.6 | 3.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 53.1% | 64.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.3% | 35.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 44.4% | 53.9% |
| BP Converted % | 36.9% | 46.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 13.8 | 19 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 20.7 | 39.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 43.6% | 68.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.2% | 52% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 29% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 21
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 15
Yibing Wu
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 16
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 32
Apr 8
Clement Tabur
Challenger Cherbourg La Manche · Round of 32
Mar 9
Matchup overview
Denis Shapovalov and Kei Nishikori face off in the Round of 64 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Denis Shapovalov leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Denis Shapovalov is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Marin Cilic (Jun 10).
Kei Nishikori is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Colton Smith (Apr 21).
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