ATP 500 · 2nd Round Qualifying · Rotterdam
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Gaston
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Denis Shapovalov here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 4–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.48 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | -58.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | -8.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Shapovalov
0
Gaston
Feb 11, 2024
Rotterdam
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 30, 2024
Montpellier
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Gaston's 25%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 26 16 | W 64 36 61 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 36 26 | L 26 16 |
| Christopher O'Connell | W 63 62 | L 26 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 64 64 60 | L 36 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shapovalov | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60% | 56.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.2% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 46.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5.5 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.8% | 46.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.7% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 44.7% | 46.5% |
| BP Converted % | 40.5% | 39.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.2 | 19.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.7 | 36.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 54.5% | 68% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.2% | 47.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Felix Gill
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Francisco Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 28
Gael Monfils
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 17
Marko Topo
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Matchup overview
Denis Shapovalov and Hugo Gaston face off in the 2nd Round Qualifying at Rotterdam on Hard.
Denis Shapovalov leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
Hugo Gaston is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Felix Gill (Jun 8).
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