ATP 500 · Finals · Dallas
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Denis Shapovalov and Casper Ruud are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 5,834 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 16–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | +4.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | +0.91u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
1
Shapovalov
3
Ruud
Oct 18, 2025
Stockholm
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 9, 2025
Dallas
H Hard · Finals
May 13, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 17, 2021
Geneva
C Clay · Finals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Shapovalov's 30%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Marin Cilic | L 76 46 57 | W 64 64 36 75 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 75 46 36 | L 57 67 75 26 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 26 | L 57 26 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 36 26 | L 46 46 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 26 | W 76 62 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 46 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 64 36 | L 46 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 62 36 64 | W 67 76 76 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 57 64 63 | W 63 61 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 76 62 | L 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shapovalov | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.2% | 67.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 46% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5.5 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.8% | 51.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.7% | 31.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 44.7% | 46.8% |
| BP Converted % | 40.5% | 42.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.6 | 20.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.1 | 21.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 52.8% | 75.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.2% | 48.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Denis Shapovalov and Casper Ruud face off in the Finals at Dallas on Hard.
Denis Shapovalov leads 1-3 over 4 previous meetings.
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
Casper Ruud is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Fonseca (May 31).
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