ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · Winston-Salem
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Denis Shapovalov plays Andrey Rublev.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.22 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | -1.33u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
2
Shapovalov
3
Rublev
Sep 3, 2022
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 15, 2020
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 17, 2019
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 13, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 9, 2017
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Shapovalov and Rublev posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | L 46 57 46 | W 64 63 46 75 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 36 26 | L 26 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 57 64 63 | W 64 64 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 26 | W 64 75 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 36 62 | L 57 67 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 76 62 | W 62 64 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 62 36 64 | W 63 76 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 62 | W 63 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 64 46 67 | L 67 36 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | L 63 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shapovalov | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.2% | 70.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 53.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5.5 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.8% | 58.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.7% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 44.7% | 53.1% |
| BP Converted % | 40.5% | 41.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.6 | 20.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.1 | 24.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 52.8% | 61.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.2% | 52.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Denis Shapovalov and Andrey Rublev face off in the Quarterfinals at Winston-Salem on Hard.
Denis Shapovalov leads 2-3 over 5 previous meetings.
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hubert Hurkacz (Jun 16).
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