ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Doha
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Denis Shapovalov and Alex Molcan are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 3,556 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 16–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.26 | 1.91 |
| ROI % | -51.0% | +47.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.08u | +9.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Shapovalov
1
Molcan
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Shapovalov and Molcan posted a 17% win rate.
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 36 62 | L 26 46 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 26 | L 63 26 36 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 26 16 | L 16 26 |
| Ben Shelton | L 64 46 67 | L 36 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 57 36 | W 64 76 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 64 36 | L 16 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shapovalov | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.1% | 64.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.7% | 66.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.2% | 48.5% |
| Aces / Match | 2.9 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 45.9% | 61% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.8% | 32.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.3% | 48.7% |
| BP Converted % | 41.7% | 42% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 13.9 | 18.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 19.3 | 30.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 45.9% | 66.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.4% | 49.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Jaime Faria
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Mariano Navone
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Alex Molcan
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Tallon Griekspoor
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Vitaliy Sachko
Unicredit Czech Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Milos Karol
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Zsombor Piros
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Felix Gill
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Oliver Crawford
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Match summary
Denis Shapovalov and Alex Molcan will meet in the BMW Open by Bitpanda quarterfinals on clay on April 17. Shapovalov, ranked 39th, brings an all-court game to the outdoor clay court in Munich. Molcan, ranked 166th, arrives as a clay court specialist looking to extend his run in the tournament.
Shapovalov leads their head-to-head record 1-0 from their single previous meeting. The two players have not developed a long rivalry, with limited history between them on the professional tour.
Molcan enters the match in exceptional form, winning 4 consecutive matches and posting a 90% win rate on clay this season with 18 victories in 22 matches. Shapovalov has been inconsistent lately, winning 2 in a row but only 40% of his last 5 matches and 60% of his last 10. Molcan has played five matches in the last two weeks, while Shapovalov has played three.
Shapovalov's all-court style allows him to attack from anywhere on the court and dictate with his serve. Molcan plays a grinding, aggressive style suited to clay, where he's maintained strong results. Shapovalov holds a 45% career record on clay, while Molcan has established himself as a dominant clay court competitor with his recent streak.
Share this match
