ATP 500 · Round of 32 · Basel
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for David Goffin here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Goffin | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.54 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +9.8% | +49.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.59u | +9.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Goffin
0
Arnaldi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Goffin and Arnaldi posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Goffin | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Toby Samuel | L 75 36 36 | W 36 64 64 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 75 46 16 | W 62 63 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 67 61 61 | L 16 76 46 |
| Quentin Halys | W 67 64 63 75 | L 16 76 67 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 46 46 | L 06 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Goffin | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 52.7% | 61.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.9% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.5% | 49% |
| Aces / Match | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 36.1% | 51.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.3% | 33.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.9% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 43.2% | 45.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 40 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 51.5 | 35 |
| Net Pts Won % | 66% | 60.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Thomas Faurel
Open Aix Provence Crédit Agricole · Round of 32
Apr 29
Emilio Nava
BMW Open by Bitpanda · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Toby Samuel
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Round of 32
Jun 12
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Matchup overview
David Goffin and Matteo Arnaldi face off in the Round of 32 at Basel on Hard.
David Goffin leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
David Goffin is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Toby Samuel (May 20).
Matteo Arnaldi is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Toby Samuel (Jun 21).
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