WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Seoul
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baptiste
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,103 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Hailey Baptiste here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.68 | 2.36 |
| ROI % | -34.1% | +65.9% |
| Units P/L | -5.11u | +8.57u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Kasatkina
1
Baptiste
Mar 18, 2025
Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 16, 2024
Seoul
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baptiste has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Kasatkina's 50%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L | W 26 62 76 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | W 63 75 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W | L 46 36 |
| Simona Waltert | L 67 63 46 | W 67 64 64 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 75 63 | W 26 62 63 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 67 26 | W 75 63 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 61 | W 62 76 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 06 64 36 | L 36 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kasatkina | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.2% | 56.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 55.6% | 68.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 40.4% | 50.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 6.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 4.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 66% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.1% | 34.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.4% | 49.7% |
| BP Converted % | 48.7% | 45.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 50.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daria Kasatkina and Hailey Baptiste face off in the Round of 16 at Seoul on Hard.
Daria Kasatkina leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
Hailey Baptiste is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Barbora Krejcikova (May 25).
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