WTA 1000 · Round of 64 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Bucsa
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 60% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 897 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Cristina Bucsa here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 0–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.62 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | -38.2% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -6.11u | -6.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Kasatkina
0
Bucsa
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Bucsa's 14%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Mccartney Kessler | L | L 63 57 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L | L 06 16 |
| Susan Bandecchi | W | L |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W | L 16 76 26 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | L 26 16 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 36 06 | L 36 67 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 75 63 | W 62 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kasatkina | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.2% | 64.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 55.6% | 59.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 40.4% | 42.3% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 1.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 37.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.1% | 33.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.4% | 54.1% |
| BP Converted % | 48.7% | 30.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 46.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 63% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daria Kasatkina and Cristina Bucsa face off in the Round of 64 at Madrid on Clay.
Daria Kasatkina leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Daria Kasatkina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mccartney Kessler (Jun 22).
Cristina Bucsa is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Susan Bandecchi (May 25).
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