ITF M15 · Round of 32 · M15 Monastir
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenkov
💥 Big Hitter
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,969 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Daniil Ostapenkov here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 3.82 |
| ROI % | +11.4% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.05u | -6.93u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Ostapenkov
0
Castagnola
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ostapenkov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 69.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.9% | 62% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.5% | 48.2% |
| Aces / Match | 5.5 | 1.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.5 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46% | 61.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.7% | 32.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.1% | 52.6% |
| BP Converted % | 45.2% | 41.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 51 | 16 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 78 | 33 |
| Net Pts Won % | 52.4% | 63.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53% | 49.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 70% | 40% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daniil Ostapenkov and Luca Castagnola face off in the Round of 32 at M15 Monastir on Hard.
Daniil Ostapenkov leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Daniil Ostapenkov is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Daniil Sarksian (May 25).
Luca Castagnola is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Chepelev (Jun 18).
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