Daniil Ostapenkov and Luca Castagnola have met 1 time since 2026; Daniil Ostapenkov leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Ostapenkov won at M15 Monastir (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenkov
💥 Big Hitter
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,969 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Daniil Ostapenkov.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
1 career meeting, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenkov | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Ostapenkov | Luca Castagnola | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 22/22 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 19/22 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 5 or more | 59% | 13/22 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/22 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/13 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 3.82 |
| ROI % | +11.4% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.05u | -6.93u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Last five matches per player
Daniil Sarksian
M15 Kutaisi · Round of 16
May 25
Adam Kaczmarek
M15 Kutaisi · Round of 32
May 25
Yanki Erel
M15 Kutaisi · Semifinals
May 25
Robin Catry
M15 Kutaisi · Quarterfinals
May 25
Kevin Edengren
M25 Kutaisi · Semifinals
May 18
Nika Bidzinashvili
M25 Kutaisi · Round of 32
May 18
Saba Purtseladze
M25 Kutaisi · Quarterfinals
May 18
Vadym Ursu
M25 Kutaisi · Final
May 18
Andrey Chepelev
Futures 2026 ·
Jun 18
Nazar Oliynykov
Futures 2026 ·
Jun 17
Francesco Forti
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Pietro Romeo Scomparin
M15 Ljubljana · Round of 32
Jun 1
Jan Kupcic
M15 Ljubljana · Round of 16
Jun 1
Henri Squire
Internazionali Di Tennis - Citta'Di Vicenza · Round of 32
May 26
Niklas Schell
M15 Litija · Round of 16
May 18
Matic Hribar
M15 Litija · Round of 32
May 18
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–58 matches
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 37% |
| Sets won | 60% | 41% |
| Games won | 54% | 47% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenkov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenkov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
