Grand Slam · Finals · US Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 8,503 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Daniil Medvedev plays Novak Djokovic.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.27 |
| ROI % | -10.5% | -45.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.36u | -1.81u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 13 career meetings
5
Medvedev
8
Djokovic
Sep 10, 2023
US Open
H Hard · Finals
Mar 3, 2023
Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 7, 2023
Adelaide 1
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 18, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 7, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Finals
Sep 12, 2021
US Open
H Hard · Finals
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open
H Hard · Finals
Nov 11, 2020
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Jan 10, 2020
ATP Cup
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 15, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Medvedev's 60%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 67 16 | W 46 61 62 |
| Marin Cilic | W 62 36 61 | W 76 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | W 36 63 46 64 64 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | W 67 62 75 64 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 76 | L 62 26 36 57 |
| Jack Draper | W 61 75 | L 64 46 67 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | W 76 61 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 06 36 | W 61 76 62 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 67 62 | W 76 64 |
| Jaume Munar | W 61 63 | W 63 57 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.6% | 70.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 73.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 56.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 7.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.4% | 60.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 32.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.5% | 50.1% |
| BP Converted % | 37.9% | 44.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.3 | 17 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.2 | 26 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69% | 71.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.4% | 52.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Valentin Royer
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 24
Dino Prizmic
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jack Draper
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 16
Mar 11
Matchup overview
Daniil Medvedev and Novak Djokovic face off in the Finals at US Open on Hard.
Daniil Medvedev leads 5-8 over 13 previous meetings.
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Terence Atmane (Jun 17).
Novak Djokovic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Fonseca (May 29).
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