ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · Mutua Madrid Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Kjaer
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 432 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Daniil Medvedev plays Nicolai Budkov Kjaer.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 10–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | +13.9% | -14.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.50u | -2.70u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Medvedev
0
Kjaer
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Kjaer's 0%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | L 63 26 57 |
| Jaume Munar | W 61 63 | L 16 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 06 36 | L 43 14 24 24 |
| Reilly Opelka | W 36 75 61 | L 46 36 46 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 76 64 | L 26 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Medvedev | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69.7% | 61.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.1% | 71.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.3% | 52.6% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.9% | 57% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.6% | 35.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54% | 54% |
| BP Converted % | 35.9% | 42.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.8 | 18.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.1 | 27.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.6% | 77.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.5% | 52.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 67% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Flavio Cobolli
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Matteo Berrettini
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 8
Francisco Cerundolo
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 23
Daniil Medvedev
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 27
Denis Shapovalov
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Moez Echargui
Mutua Madrid Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 21
Francesco Maestrelli
Mutua Madrid Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Marco Trungelliti
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Match summary
Daniil Medvedev meets Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the Round of 32 at the Mutua Madrid Open on April 27, a clay court contest between the 10th ranked Russian and the 140th ranked Dane. The two have never faced each other. Medvedev arrives with one match in the last two weeks after a loss in his previous outing; Budkov Kjaer has played three times in that span and won his last three matches.
Neither player brings clay form that separates them on paper. Medvedev holds a 65% record on the surface from recent play, as does Budkov Kjaer. Both faced Jaume Munar recently, though with opposite results: Medvedev defeated him while Budkov Kjaer lost. The same pattern held against Learner Tien.
Medvedev's power game relies on driving through the court and dictating from the baseline, a style that can struggle against clay's slower pace and higher bounces. Budkov Kjaer operates as a counterpuncher who reads the court and redirects pace rather than generating it himself. On clay, Medvedev must sustain precision over extended rallies; Budkov Kjaer needs to convert the opportunities that Medvedev's aggressive approach creates.
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