ATP 500 · Finals · Tokyo
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Nishikori
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 1,601 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Daniil Medvedev here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -10.5% | -30.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.36u | -1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
3
Medvedev
2
Nishikori
Feb 1, 2021
ATP Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 24, 2019
Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 6, 2019
Brisbane
H Hard · Finals
Oct 7, 2018
Tokyo
H Hard · Finals
Apr 9, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Nishikori's 0%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 62 | L 63 46 26 |
| Yibing Wu | L 75 67 46 | L 36 63 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Medvedev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.6% | 60.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 67.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 52% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 1.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.4% | 64.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 35.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.5% | 53.9% |
| BP Converted % | 37.9% | 46.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.3 | 19 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.2 | 39.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69% | 68.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.4% | 52% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 21
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 15
Yibing Wu
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 16
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 32
Apr 8
Clement Tabur
Challenger Cherbourg La Manche · Round of 32
Mar 9
Matchup overview
Daniil Medvedev and Kei Nishikori face off in the Finals at Tokyo on Hard.
Daniil Medvedev leads 3-2 over 5 previous meetings.
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Terence Atmane (Jun 17).
Kei Nishikori is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Colton Smith (Apr 21).
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