Grand Slam · Round of 16 · US Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Tiafoe
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 12,532 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -10.5% | +38.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.36u | +6.17u |
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
6
Medvedev
1
Tiafoe
Jan 7, 2026
Brisbane International presented by ANZ
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 18, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 22, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 7, 2020
US Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 22, 2020
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Jul 31, 2019
Washington
H Hard · Round of 16
May 2, 2015
Nice
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Medvedev's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | W 64 16 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | W 76 46 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 64 62 | W 36 63 76 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | W 62 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 26 26 |
| Alexei Popyrin | L 75 46 46 | W 36 64 76 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | L 36 46 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 61 | W 64 62 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 76 | W 36 76 64 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 67 62 | W 64 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Medvedev | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.6% | 62.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.5% | 71.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 7.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.4% | 61.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 27.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.5% | 49.5% |
| BP Converted % | 37.9% | 38.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.3 | 27.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.2 | 32 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69% | 71.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.4% | 49.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe face off in the Round of 16 at US Open on Hard.
Daniil Medvedev leads 6-1 over 7 previous meetings.
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Terence Atmane (Jun 17).
Frances Tiafoe is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Sho Shimabukuro (Jun 17).
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